[原创]兴业投资市场评论(2011年8月4日)

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原油    原油周三收低，延续本周跌势。此次收低为周四低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。如延续本周跌势，下个下行目标可能为6月低点。位于周一高点之上收盘则表明一短期低点已经形成。       XA$Z7_gu3  

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天然气     天然气周三收低，延续了7月高点后的跌势。此次低收为周四低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。若延续本月高点后的跌势，下个下行目标可能为3月低点。位于20日均线上方收盘可能会缓和近期看跌观点。                                                               P7||d@VW,  
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咖啡     咖啡周三收低，延续了过去两周的区间交易。此次收低为周四低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。若延续本月跌势，下个下行目标可能为2010-2011年升浪的50%回档位。   d`z),A=  
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欧元兑美元     欧元兑美元周三因空头回补收高，位于20日均线上方收盘，盘整自七月高点以来的部分跌幅。此次收高为周四高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数仍然看跌，表明另一波跌势近期可能出现。若重启7月低点后的涨势，下个上行目标可能为7月高点。 !;YmLJk;hN  
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美元兑日元     美元兑日元周三收低，延续了7月高点后的跌势。此次低收为周四低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数倾向看涨，表明一短期底部可能已经或即将形成。位于20日均线上方收盘，则可确信一短期底部已经形成。若延续今夏跌势，下行目标将难以确认。           X676*;:!.  
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英镑兑美元     英镑兑美元周三因空头回补收高，修正了周一部分跌势。此次高收为周四高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数倾向看跌，表明一短期顶部可能已经或即将形成。位于20日均线下方收盘则表明一短期顶部已经形成。若延续7月低点后的涨势，下个上行目标可能为近期回调高点。 S$!)Uc\)A  
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美元兑瑞郎     美元兑瑞郎周三收高，修正了今年部分跌势。此次以中间价格收盘为周四低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。若延续今年跌势，下行目标将难以确认。位于20日均线上方收盘，表明一短期底部已经形成。     F[Dhj,C"  
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黄金     黄金周三大幅收高，再次录得历史新高，延续了今年涨势。此次以中间价格收盘为周四高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看涨，表明横向走势近期可能上扬。若延续今年涨势，上行目标将很难确认。位于20日均线下方收盘则可确信一短期顶部已经形成。           |22~.9S  
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白银     白银周三收高，位于4月-5月跌浪的50%回档位以上收盘。此次收高为周四高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看涨，表明横向走势近期可能上扬。若延续本周涨势，下个上行目标可能为4月-5月跌浪的62%回档位。位于20日均线下方收盘表明一短期顶部已经形成。           T{1Z(M+  
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道琼斯工业指数     道琼斯工业指数周三收高，盘整自7月高点以来的部分跌幅。此次收高为周四高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数倾向看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。标准普尔指数周三收高，盘整自7月高点以来的部分跌幅。此次收高为周四晚盘高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数显示超买但保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。纳斯达克指数周三收高，因早前在6月上行趋势线下疲软但未能引发额外的卖盘止损。此次收高为周四晚盘高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。 >gAq/'.Q  
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