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兴业投资每日原油日评:利好美国数据提振原油收高(2011年7月8日)

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利好美国数据提振原油收高
2011
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市场最新动向:
原油:纽约商业期货交易所(NYMEX8月原油期货周四上涨2.02美元,报收于每桶98.67美元,涨幅为2.1%,创下自614日以来的最高收盘价,因美国失业金申请人数和零售销售数据强于预期,提高经济恢复获得上行动力的希望。美国俄勒冈州Excel Futures的总裁MarkWaggoner说道,油价仍在上涨,投资者参考了经济学者的意见,认为经济有望在下半年回暖。此外,洲际交易所 8月布伦特原油期货上涨4.97美元,报收于每桶118.59美元,涨幅为4.4%,创下自59日以来的最高单日涨幅。

天然气:美国天然气期货周四盘中修正此前大幅跌势,但仍收低2%,位于20日均线下方,录得三个月新低,受累于官方库存数据显示天然气库存增长远高于预期。一位佛罗里达州交易商表示,尽管上周公布的库存增长数据不及预期,一度抑制了气价跌势,但过去几周来天然气价格一路下挫。由于市场缺乏催化剂推动气价走高,在今日的看跌数据前天然气呈现盘整走势,暂时控制了空头。

欧洲煤:欧洲煤期货周四微涨,但相较于电力和天然气来说表现欠佳。一份简短声明称,商会要求工会考虑撤回部分有重大隐性成本的需求,使煤矿开采公司可以把更多资金放在薪资上来。

商品市场:商品周四反弹收高,受助于今晚美国公布的就业数据将会改善的预期,暗示经济复苏和原材料需求增加。在纽约的Nomura Securities International 的首席经济学家David Resler 称,今晚的美国数据将大致确认5月份经济的跌势仅仅是受到一些小挫折,而不是陷入了深渊。

全球市场:全球股市周四触及5周以来的高点,因美国私营部门就业数据增强了对经济的乐观情绪,与此同时,强劲的燃料需求推动油价录得两个月以来的最大涨幅。在洛杉矶的Bel Air Investment Advisors 投资组合经理Gary Flam 称,我们经历了多个月经济数据令人失望的时期,而现在的情况比我们预期得要好,希望这次利好预期能提振市场。

今日重点关注事件:
意大利5月工业产出年率(16:00
美国6月非农就业人数(20:30
美国农业部上周出口销售(20:30
美国5月批发库存(22:00
美国上周CFTC期货头寸报告(03:30
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只看该作者 1 发表于: 2011-07-21
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只看该作者 2 发表于: 2012-11-07
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