[讨论]兴业投资市场评论(2011年8月5日)

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原油    原油周四暴跌至6月低点之下，重启自5月高点以来的跌势。此次收低为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。如延续今夏跌势，下个下行目标可能为2009-2011升浪62%回档位。位于20日均线之上收盘则表明一短期低点已经形成。     thOCzGJ$  
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天然气      天然气周四大幅下挫，收于3月低点下方，延续了今夏跌势。此次低收为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。若延续7月高点后的跌势，下个下行目标可能为2010年10月低点。               D0uf=BbS  
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咖啡     咖啡周四收低，下破过去两周区间交易下线。此次收低为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。若延续本月跌势，下个下行目标可能为2010-2011年升浪的50%回档位。         }V`Fz',lZ  
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欧元兑美元      欧元兑美元周四形成关键反转，位于20日均线下方收盘，表明一短期顶部已经形成。此次收低为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数看跌，表明另一波跌势近期可能出现。若延续今日跌势，下个下行目标可能为7月低点。位于上周三高点以上收盘，则可确信重启自上个月低点以来的升势。 Oi7|R7NE  
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美元兑日元     美元兑日元周四急剧上扬。此次以中间价格收盘为周五高开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数已经转为看涨，表明横向走势近期可能上扬。如果延续本周升势，下个上行目标可能为7月高点。位于10日均线下方收盘，则可确信一短期高点已经形成。       F*}b),  
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英镑兑美元     英镑兑美元周四收低，盘整周三部分涨幅。此次低收为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数转为看跌，表明一短期顶部可能已经或即将形成。位于20日均线下方收盘则表明一短期顶部已经形成。若延续7月低点后的涨势，下个上行目标可能为近期回调高点。       6jom6/F 4  
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美元兑瑞郎     美元兑瑞郎周四略收低，延续了今年的跌势。此次低收为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数仍然看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。若延续今年跌势，下行目标将难以确认。位于20日均线上方收盘，表明一短期底部已经形成。       IiSO{  
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黄金     黄金周四因获利了结形成关键反转下行。此次收低为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数转为下跌，表明一短期顶部可能已经或即将形成。位于20日均线下方收盘则可确信一短期顶部已经形成。若延续今年升势，下个上行目标将难以确认。       6]na#<  
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白银     白银周四形成关键反转，收于20日均线下方，表明一短期顶部已经形成。此次收低为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数已经转为下跌，表明横向走势近期可能下跌。若延续今日跌势，下个下行目标可能为近期回调低点。若重启6月低点以来的升势，下个上行目标可能为4-5月跌浪的62%回档位。                                                                                                         %/s:G)  
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道琼斯工业指数     道琼斯工业指数 周四收低，收于3月低点下方。此次收低为周五低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。标准普尔指数周四大幅下挫，收于2010-2011升浪的38%回档位下方，延续了7月高点以来的跌势。此次收低为周五晚盘低开奠定了基础。纳斯达克指数周四急剧下滑，位于6月上行趋势线下方收盘，可能下探测试6月低点。此次收低为周五晚盘低开奠定了基础。随机指标和相对强弱指数保持看跌，表明横向走势近期可能下滑。     DS-Kot(k(z  
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